Indian Kalonji Prices May Drop Briefly with New Crop Arrivals in April

Indian Kalonji Prices May Drop in April with upcoming crops. The production of Kalonji (Nigella seeds) in 2025 is expected to reach 3 lakh quintals, compared to 2-2.25 lakh quintals in 2024. Key production areas include Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, and Rajasthan. Favorable weather and expanded sowing areas, particularly in Gujarat, have contributed to the anticipated increase in production.

Regional Production Estimates for 2025

Short-Term Price Dip Expected as Harvest Hits Market

Due to low outstanding stock and active spot market buying, Kalonji prices have increased recently. However, new arrivals after Holi could lead to a short-term drop in prices in April. Despite this, the market might not see a significant decline, as the total availability will still fall short of annual consumption.

• Expected Consumption: 4 lakh quintals
• Total Availability: 3.50 lakh quintals (including 3 lakh quintals of new production and 40-50 thousand quintals of existing stock)

Supply and Demand

With demand exceeding supply, prices may stabilize or even rise again after the initial dip. Market analysts believe that the Kalonji market could remain robust throughout 2025, supported by lower-than-needed availability.

Potential Market Impact

If the initial price drop in April is limited, there is potential for Kalonji prices to improve as the supply from new arrivals dwindles. Historically, Nigella seed prices reached high levels, and with a similar supply-demand scenario, a strong market performance could be on the horizon.