The global coffee market is witnessing a significant shift as the gap between speciality and regular coffee prices narrows. With regular coffee prices hitting new highs, the premium for India’s speciality coffees has plummeted to just 10%, a stark decrease from the usual 25%. This report delves into the current market trends, fundamental drivers, and provides a detailed forecast for the coffee market.

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📈 Market Overview

📉 Key Market Drivers

• Supply concerns in Brazil and Vietnam are pushing up global prices.
• Strong export performance from India, with exports crossing USD 1.8 billion.
• Speciality coffee premiums have decreased due to the narrowing price gap.

⛅ Weather Outlook – Key Coffee Regions

• Brazil: Dry conditions expected, potentially stressing crops.
• Vietnam: Adequate rainfall, favorable for coffee growth.

🔮 Price Forecast – Next 3 Days

• Expected Range for May 2025: USD 1.93 – USD 2.00/lb

📌 Conclusion & Strategic Recommendations

• Buyers: Monitor global supply risks and consider securing inventory at current levels.
• Sellers: Leverage the high market prices to optimize revenue, especially for regular grades.
• Traders: Stay alert to any changes in weather patterns that could impact production forecasts.