Rapeseed Prices Continue to Rise – Strong Canola and Tight Supply Push Futures Higher

Rapeseed prices at the Euronext climbed for the third consecutive session on Tuesday. Rising ICE canola prices and tightening supply expectations supported the oilseed market.

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📊 Market Situation & Price Development

The August 2025 contract on the Euronext rose by €3.50 to €488.50/t, supported by gains in ICE canola futures and continued buying in the physical market.

*Estimated based on curve stability.

At ICE Futures Canada:

• Jul 25 Canola jumped +15.60 CAD to 718.30 CAD/t
• Nov 25 Canola gained +7.30 CAD to 681.00 CAD/t

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🌍 Key Market Drivers

• Tight Canola Supply ExpectedConcerns about lower Canadian acreage and an uncertain demand outlook drove canola futures higher across all terms.
• Fast Seeding Progress in AlbertaAccording to provincial data, 47% of canola planting was completed by May 13, well ahead of the 5-year average of 26%.
• Supportive Physical MarketGerman prices for new crop rapeseed are nearing €500/t FCA oil mill, boosting bullish sentiment.
• Vegetable Oil RecoverySoy oil rebounded, supporting rapeseed's oil value amid an ongoing reset in the global biodiesel narrative.

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💼 Trading Strategy & Market Outlook

Rapeseed remains well supported with strong gains in ICE canola and physical strength in Europe. Watch for profit-taking above €490.

Strategy:– Buy on dips near €485– Watch canola spreads and biodiesel headlines for confirmation– Sellers: Secure sales above €495 ahead of the EU harvest risk window

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📈 3-Day Price Forecast (Aug 25 Contract)

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🌦️ 14-Day Weather Outlook – Rapeseed Regions

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