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Karl Friedrich zu Melibokus

May 26, 2025

Palm Oil Market Update – Futures Recover After Week of Pressure

Palm Oil Market Update – Futures Recover After Week of Pressure

Palm Oil Market Update – Futures Recover After Week of Pressure

Malaysian palm oil futures bounced back on Friday, with the August 2025 contract rising by 31 MYR to close at 3,851 MYR/t, halting a week-long slide. The rebound was aided by improved external sentiment and gains in competing oils.




📊 MDEX Palm Oil Futures – Closing Summary (23 May 2025)

📌 Benchmark: August contract now at 894.85 USD/t (EUR ≈ 827/t at 1 USD = 0.925 EUR)




🪵 Market Drivers

  • 📈 Technical rebound after a sharp drop earlier in the week.
  • 🛢️ Soyoil recovery in Chicago provided cross-commodity support.
  • 📦 Export optimism persists for May despite a higher production outlook.
  • ☁️ Traders remain cautious amid expectations of seasonal stock build-up.





🌍 International Outlook

  • India & China remain key buyers, though recent demand has been mixed.
  • Production forecasts for Malaysia point to rising output in June and July.
  • Crude oil’s slide earlier in the week limited biofuel-driven support.





🔮 3-Day Price Forecast (August 2025 Contract)

Trend: ⬆️ Mild rebound possible if soy and crude oil stabilise.




🧭 Summary

✅ Friday marked a technical recovery after a rough week.📉 However, upside is capped by ample supply and sluggish edible oil demand.📊 Watch for Monday’s export estimates and further signals from soyoil and crude oil markets.
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