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Karl Friedrich zu Melibokus

May 26, 2025

Crude Oil Market Update – Brent Prices Edge Higher After Weekly Volatility

Crude Oil Market Update – Brent Prices Edge Higher After Weekly Volatility

Crude Oil Market Update – Brent Prices Edge Higher After Weekly Volatility

Crude oil futures (Brent) recovered slightly on Friday, with the July contract closing at USD 64.78 per barrel, up 0.52% on the day. However, prices remain under pressure due to macroeconomic uncertainties and inventory concerns.




📊 ICE Brent Crude Futures – Closing Summary (23 May 2025)




🌍 Global Energy Market Overview

  • 📉 Earlier in the week, crude prices dropped to multi-week lows on rising U.S. crude inventories and continued concerns over slowing global growth.
  • 🇨🇳 China’s oil demand showed signs of recovery, offering some support.
  • 📦 The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a larger-than-expected stock build.
  • 🛢️ OPEC+ output compliance remains a wildcard — potential policy updates expected in early June.





🔍 Key Fundamentals

  • Gasoline demand in the U.S. improved slightly heading into Memorial Day weekend.
  • 🛢️ WTI and Brent spreads narrowed, hinting at rebalancing between regional markets.
  • 🌀 No major disruptions from weather events have been reported — hurricane season begins in June.





📈 Technical Outlook

  • Support at USD 63.00, resistance at USD 65.50.
  • RSI suggests neutral territory after last week’s sell-off.
  • Market participants are waiting for the next round of inflation data and Fed signals.





🔮 3-Day Price Forecast (Brent, July 25)

📌 Exchange rate used: 1 USD = 0.925 EUR




🧭 Conclusion & Outlook

🟡 Brent crude shows short-term resilience but lacks strong upward momentum.⚠️ Rising inventories and demand uncertainty remain key risks.📅 Next market-moving events: OPEC+ meeting in June, U.S. inventory reports, and macroeconomic data.
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